RAFritchey wrote:From his first full season (2010-2011) through today, do you know where Petro ranks overall among ALL defensemen?
Points: #5
Blocked shots: #6
Takeaways: #6
Shots: #7
Shot Attempts: #10
+/- (IMHO kind of dubious for comparisons, but anyway): #13
He plays top-pairing minutes against the other team's top scoring line, as well as PP and PK, and has been one of the top 5 best scoring defensemen in the league. You're just not going to GET much better than him, outside of a handful of guys.
If that's not "elite" I don't know what is. If that's "peaked" I'll take it! But he's only 25, and I think he still has more improvement ahead of him. And he's locked in at a VERY reasonable $6.5-7.5 mil a year for 4 years beyond this one. (look at players like Shea Webber making $14 mil this year, and $12 mil/year for the next two, P.K. Subban slated to make $11 mil/year or Brent Seabrook and Ryan Suter both going to be making $9 mil/year)
Neither Parayko nor Shattenkirk are ready to step in to replace that.
I'm definitely a Petro "basher", have been for a few years now, and the bashing has been getting louder and louder. The same problems he developed in his 3rd season, he still hasn't fixed. He's elite at transitioning the puck out of our zone (when he isn't pressured by more than one guy, b/c his fancy moves don't work when he's going against 2 guys, and he never just makes the safe chip off the boards), he still refuses to take a shot on net, even when there's a clear lane and we have 1 or 2 guys screening and waiting for deflections/rebounds. He'll just stutter step, stutter step, wait for 2 defenders to block the lane then hurry a pass to the half wall that more times than not handcuffs his partner or the winger. It's unbelievable to see how average he's become in almost all facets of the game - but that's not really why I quoted this specific post - what I wanted to address was the ranks for each of those stats.
All of those except points I would argue are driven more by "quantity of ice time" as opposed to "quality of play". Blocked Shots, Shots, Attempted Shots, and takeaways you obviously have a higher chance of gaining those stats with higher ice time. I'd be interested to see where you got those stats, so I could also see his giveaway ranking (I'm assuming, with the same logic, that it's also high b/c of his ice time) and so I could also see those stat rankings when shown as a per 60 min rate - that at least creates more of a "quality" factor instead of all counting stats being higher because of more opportunity to collect those stats. I don't have the time to do his whole career vs all other D men, but last year, Pie was 35th in Points/60 min by a defenseman with 1.34 (
http://www.sportingcharts.com/nhl/stats ... ders/2014/) - funnily enough tied with David Runblad; Kevin Shattenkirk was actually first with 2.09 by comparison. That's also telling when he was 14th in scoring by defensemen with 46 points. To me that tells me it's more driven by time on ice. I know there is a little bump down b/c of the PK TOI Petro logs, but there are at least a dozen defensemen ahead of petro that play on their teams top PK unit. I know PP time plays a lot in this as well, it's definitely not perfect, but it helps make the points argument relative to time on ice, so in Hitch terms, it's a more "honest stat"
It also tries to show more quality of play vs quantity of opportunity.
Furthermore, when is the last time you saw Petro get a primary assist on a goal? Or how many of those assists actually come from a play within the offensive zone, not a secondary assist on a breakout pass? I'm not sure if any site keeps primary vs secondary assist stats, but I can't imagine more than 30% of Petro's assists are primary. I know an assist is an assist, but just taking total points and not looking at it any more in depth(like points/60min), can be a bit deceiving. Once we get past the red line, he is an absolute liability and becomes an offensive black hole - there's not a stat to tell me that, but it's something if you're honest with yourself, it's hard not to notice. I actually believe that Petro has played a big part in diluting Jay Bo's offensive skills as well. Pie just has no instincts in the offensive zone. That's all I'll say about it, as I've gone on far too long, haha. Needless to say, I've been on the trade Petro for an offensive upgrade wagon for a while......