RAFritchey wrote: Mon Jan 29, 2024 6:22 pm
It'll surely be a tight race through February, possibly right up to the March 8th trade deadline.
LA is in a downward spiral. It seems like Pierre Luc Dubois really is poison on that team. They don't have a lot of UFAs that they might trade off, although the don't have any goalies signed past this season and a lot of RFAs to re-sign. I think they stay pat at the deadline, perhaps even try to add something (They still have their 1st round pick coming up, but not their 2nd or 3rd) if they can pull out of their nose-dive, but I think they'll fall out of the race this year.
Calgary is a mess, with a TON of upcoming UFAs, including Elias Lindholm and Noah Hanifin, who will both probably be overpaid this off season. They REALLY need to have a fire sale and a genuine rebuild. I don't know if they will, but they SHOULD.
Nashville has plenty of cap room, some extra 2nd, 3rd, and 4th round picks, and I could easily see them being buyers by the deadline. Ryan O'Reilly is having a great year there, Juuse Saros and Gustyav Nyquist don't become UFAs until 2025, so I think they make some moves to go for it.
Seattle has like NO cap space, though they do have most of their draft picks (missing a 5th rounder, but also have Toronto's 3rd and Calgary's 7th), and they have a few of pending UFAs they COULD get a decent return on (Jordan Eberle, Alex Wennberg, Justin Schultz). I think they could go either way. A hot streak, they stand pat and go for it (I don't think they'd be 'buyers' at the deadline), a cold streak and they trade off UFAs.
Arizona I think stands pat even if they fall out of the race. Goaltending is the main reason why they're where they are right now (Thank you Connor Ingram!), and they have a little cap space (Just shy of $3 mil right now), and their ENTIRE D-corps are either UFAs or RFAs coming up. OTOH, they have like $23 mil in cap space opening up this Summer and TWENTY 1st - 3rd round draft picks over the next three years thanks to all of those dead contracts (e.g. Shea Weber) or cap hits they took to help other teams make deals. IMHO, this isn't the year they make any moves, but I think they'll make some BIG ones over the Summer and going forward.
I think Nashville, Seattle, and LA will be our main competition for the wild-card spots going forwards, but we'll see what the next 6 weeks brings.