Berube has not said yet who will be in goal for the Blues. Both goalies have gaa's over 3 the last two months. Need one of them to get hot to have a shot. I'd try Binner first just because been there done that.
Both Schenn and Scandella are expected back for game 1.
Under the NHL’s current playoff format, there have been many instances of unfair first-round matchups that feature two top teams that don’t deserve an early exit. This series between the sixth-ranked Wild and eighth-ranked Blues certainly qualifies.
It’s unjust for either side, but it should make for an incredibly entertaining series for the fans — one that’s sure to be fiercely fought and tightly contested.
The Wild enter the series as heavy favorites, according to the model, expected to win the series 75 percent of the time. That’s a bold take for a team that’s 2-5-4 against the Blues over the past two seasons, and it’s worth noting that the model does not consider head-to-head matchups when estimating series probability. In most cases, it’s just noise. In this case? There may be something to the Blues having the Wild’s number.
The other caveat to the odds is the difficulty that comes with modeling both of these teams, specifically using public expected goals.
For the Wild, it’s a matter of rink bias making them look worse offensively and better defensively than they actually are. Minnesota is still an elite defensive team, just maybe not at this level. For the Blues, it’s their passing ability that creates better offensive chances than is shown in public expected goals. According to SportLogiq, their expected goals percentage at five-on-five is two percentage points higher than the public models suggest (48.6 percent, per Evolving-Hockey).
https://theathletic.com/3288341/2022/05 ... ds-monday/
GDT: GM 1 St Louis Blues @ Minnesota Wild - 5/2 8:30 - TV:ESPN
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Last edited by T.C. on Mon May 02, 2022 10:31 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: stickified
Reason: stickified
Just a Russian propaganda account